Message boards :
Number crunching :
Target #24: Ebola RdRp - unofficial progress estimate
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 10 Credit: 658,612 RAC: 17,927 |
In order not to hijack the #23 or any other threads, I made a new one dedicated to following the progress of the current target, #24. I will add a chart generated with Google Sheets that should automatically update when I add new data to it. As mentioned in another thread, I'm currently adding one data point/day, straight from the server status page, sometime around midday UTC. The sheet calculates the total progress made during the last ~5 days (5 datapoints) and calculates an end date based on remaining work. The chart looks a bit weird, please share any ideas to improve it. The Y axis represents the dates on which progress was recorded, with the last date at the top (so the chart essentially starts from the bottom and is snaking up every day). The X axis shows the estimated date of completion. When the line is moving to the left, the project has been speeding up the past 5 days compared to the previous 5 day interval (meaning 6-to-1 days ago). Right now we can see that progress has been accelerating for 5 days straight. Cheers to everyone contributing!
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 10 Credit: 658,612 RAC: 17,927 |
Old chart got borked, here's an updated one. A rotated the whole thing and added another line. The blue one is based on the average rate of progress from the past 5 days while the green line averages progress since the beginning (Nov 5th). Theoretically the blue one is more accurate because it's based only on recent data, but since speed will probably fluctuate in both directions over the next months, the green line seems like a useful baseline. After the initial speeding up there has been a significant slowdown the past couple of days, pushing the completion estimate all the way into February 2027.
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