Message boards :
Number crunching :
Target #24: Ebola RdRp - unofficial progress estimate
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
In order not to hijack the #23 or any other threads, I made a new one dedicated to following the progress of the current target, #24. I will add a chart generated with Google Sheets that should automatically update when I add new data to it. As mentioned in another thread, I'm currently adding one data point/day, straight from the server status page, sometime around midday UTC. The sheet calculates the total progress made during the last ~5 days (5 datapoints) and calculates an end date based on remaining work. The chart looks a bit weird, please share any ideas to improve it. The Y axis represents the dates on which progress was recorded, with the last date at the top (so the chart essentially starts from the bottom and is snaking up every day). The X axis shows the estimated date of completion. When the line is moving to the left, the project has been speeding up the past 5 days compared to the previous 5 day interval (meaning 6-to-1 days ago). Right now we can see that progress has been accelerating for 5 days straight. Cheers to everyone contributing!
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
Old chart got borked, here's an updated one. A rotated the whole thing and added another line. The blue one is based on the average rate of progress from the past 5 days while the green line averages progress since the beginning (Nov 5th). Theoretically the blue one is more accurate because it's based only on recent data, but since speed will probably fluctuate in both directions over the next months, the green line seems like a useful baseline. After the initial speeding up there has been a significant slowdown the past couple of days, pushing the completion estimate all the way into February 2027.
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Send message Joined: 15 Apr 22 Posts: 10 Credit: 1,925,301 RAC: 19,089 |
Thank you for this update. It´s good to get this statistics and estimation of completion-date. Thank you! Best regards |
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
Seems like the holidays and the constant work over at Rosetta and WCG have taken their toll on SiDock, at least based on the drop in completion rate after the 24th. I have to admit that I'm among those who moved all their firepower over to Rosetta while the tasks last. The last of the new Rosetta tasks are being sent out as I'm writing these lines, so from now on it will be everyone's cache + sporadic resends which should run out in about 2 days. Aftwerards I'll be coming back to SiDock with most of my CPUs.
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Send message Joined: 15 Apr 22 Posts: 10 Credit: 1,925,301 RAC: 19,089 |
Seems like the holidays and the constant work over at Rosetta and WCG have taken their toll on SiDock, at least based on the drop in completion rate after the 24th. I have to admit that I'm among those who moved all their firepower over to Rosetta while the tasks last. Understood. For me, I am running SIDock as much as I can and it is the only project I contribute currently. I did not know there were Rosetta-tasks again, but I think I would stick to SIDock anyway - just to not have to login to other projects after a reinstalling of my OS. - Is there any chance of an updated completion-estimation/chart? Would be very interesting IMO. But of course not a must, only if you want to. Wishing you a very nice new years eve and and a great new year! :) Best regards |
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
Seems like the holidays and the constant work over at Rosetta and WCG have taken their toll on SiDock, at least based on the drop in completion rate after the 24th. I have to admit that I'm among those who moved all their firepower over to Rosetta while the tasks last. The chart is updated almost every day. When I miss a day or two, I fill the missing data by simple interpolation to avoid distorting the time axis.
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Send message Joined: 15 Apr 22 Posts: 10 Credit: 1,925,301 RAC: 19,089 |
The chart is updated almost every day. When I miss a day or two, I fill the missing data by simple interpolation to avoid distorting the time axis. I see. Any link to the chart? Or if you kindly can post a screenshot here for me to see? Only of you have time and want to of course. Thanks! Best regards |
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
The chart is updated almost every day. When I miss a day or two, I fill the missing data by simple interpolation to avoid distorting the time axis. Uhh.. it's supposed to be embedded into this message. I see it update automatically from time to time.
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Send message Joined: 15 Apr 22 Posts: 10 Credit: 1,925,301 RAC: 19,089 |
The chart is updated almost every day. When I miss a day or two, I fill the missing data by simple interpolation to avoid distorting the time axis. Thank you. I did not know this and did not realize it was updating in the same message over time. Best regards and happy new year! |
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Send message Joined: 25 Apr 25 Posts: 14 Credit: 1,229,503 RAC: 13,733 |
Happy New Year to all crunchers! I've been away for a few days so I had to interpolate for days between Jan 2-7, but through the period the average speed of progress has hit new records, averaging over 0,32%/day.
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